By Katie Lawrence
Sun, August 23, 2026 at 10:24 AM CDT
We all can agree that the weather in the Lone Star State is notoriously unpredictable-especially in the winter. But thanks to The Farmers’ Almanac, we have the Texas winter forecast for 2026-2027 to turn to. This year, thanks to El Niño, a weather pattern that brings warmer oceans and stronger winds, we’ll see frequent storms in the South, and depending on how cold it gets, that could turn into freezing rain or snow. Ready to learn more? Check out the Texas winter predictions below.
According to The Farmers’ Almanac 2026-2027 winter predictions, the South is in for a wet and stormy season. Thanks to El Niño, the entire Southern United States is in for “wetter-than-normal” conditions. The Almanac says, “an active storm track” will extend from Southern California through desert regions into Texas and throughout the Southeastern U.S. This means frequent storms, muddy ground, and spouts of cold air.
Cooler air combined with storm activity could mean sleet, freezing rain, and in some parts of the South, wet snow. While the Farmers’ Almanac hasn’t released predictions to Texas specifically, this is what we know so far about the Southern region of the country.
It’s unclear when Texas will experience peak winter weather this upcoming season. While it’s predicted that the South (including Texas, the Southwest, and Southern California) will have heavier-than-normal precipitation this winter, we’re not sure when this will occur. Typically, January is the Lone Star State’s coldest month, so that may be when residents will see the most notable change in winter weather.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Northern Texas has historically gotten light snow, especially in the mountains. The most recent heavy snow and ice event took place January 9-10, 2025. While The Farmers’ Almanac doesn’t specify which regions of Texas will see the most winter weather, it might just depend on where you live in the state. Southern portions, i.e., the Gulf Coast, may experience more sleet and freezing rain, while Northern regions may have more snowfall-albeit light.
Frequent storms, dips in temperature, and wetter-than-normal conditions may make it tricky to plan winter travel or activities in Texas. But as long as residents are prepared, especially for cold snaps that could affect pipes, heating, and road conditions, they can still enjoy the season. After all, a light dusting of snow makes for beautiful winter scenes in Texas.
We can’t change the weather, so we might as well make the most of it. In fact, there are plenty of ways to enjoy winter in Texas, including hiking, sledding, or taking a Texas day trip to places like Palo Duro Canyon State Park, which sometimes has snow!
No matter how you prefer to enjoy the season, keep in mind that long-range weather forecasts can be somewhat inaccurate. The best way to keep track (and plan around!) the weather is by following local, reputable organizations that offer daily and weekly weather forecasts. Meteorologists and scientists can offer clearer pictures of the chances of rain and snow, and provide advice for winter storm preparedness.